From Five Thirty Eight, placed here without comment:
Showing posts with label fivethirtyeight. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fivethirtyeight. Show all posts
Friday, August 12, 2016
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Bernie's Path to Victory
Five-Thirty-Eight has a great article on a possible path to the nomination for Berni Sanders. It breaks down benchmarks for each state and which states he really "needs" to win.
It starts, of Course, with Nevada
I was interested in Kansas (what with living there). I think Kansas will deliver a massive margin for Sanders.
It starts, of Course, with Nevada
Nevada. Nevada has a fairly high nonwhite population, but it isn’t especially liberal. Clinton was also well ahead of Sanders in the (relatively small sample) of interviews Morning Consult conducted there earlier this year. It’s possible that Clinton will be hurt because the state holds a caucus, although we don’t have a lot of evidence yet about which Democrat that benefits. In other words — and as much as her campaign might try to avoid admitting it — it’s a state that Clinton “should” win. Conversely, a Sanders win would be a sign he has staying power.
I was interested in Kansas (what with living there). I think Kansas will deliver a massive margin for Sanders.
Labels:
2016,
Bernie Sanders,
elections,
fivethirtyeight,
POlitics,
stats and numbers
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