Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 9, 2016

New Hampshire

I did a terrible job predicting Iowa, but I'm giving New Hampshire a shot anyway. Here's my prediction:

Republican

Trump 31
Kasich 14
Cruz 11
Rubio 10
Christie 5
Bush 3
Fiorina < 1
Carson < 1

Yes, I think Rubio comes in fourth. His dreadful collapse at the debate followed by scathing media attention should have him completely destroyed by now.


Democratic

Sanders 57
Clinton 43

I'm not going too far out on a limb here.  I think these numbers are in line with most prognosticators at this point.


Friday, February 5, 2016

Dead Heat

They call this a dead heat:

Clinton garnered 44% to Sanders’ 42%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Friday. A sizeable 11% say they are undecided.
Q-Poll

Yes, that's a national and yes, nationals are dumb. Still, this speaks to a real change in the dynamic of the race. IF- IF - IF  

Sanders pulls off a blowout in New Hampshire, the media coverage could propel him to a win in Nevada and a narrower than expected loss in South Carolina. If that happens, he may just become the favorite to win the nomination.

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

You say you want a revolution

According to a new poll a majority of Americans want a political revolution to distribute wealth fairly. Yes, we want the rich to give up some so that the rest of us can survive.

Fifty-four percent of respondents to our online poll — which reached a sample of 1,884 registered voters nationally from Friday, January 29, through Sunday, January 31, 2016 — agreed that a "political revolution might be necessary to redistribute money from the wealthiest Americans to the middle class." Just 30 percent said they disagreed.

Robin Hood has always been my hero.