My personal prediction for the Iowa caucus:

Republicans:

Trump 29%
Cruz 22%
Rubio 13%
Paul 5%



Democrats:

Sanders 50%
Clinton 47%

They keep telling me he can't win

Bernie Sanders is leading Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. It isn't a tiny lead, either. 49% for Sanders, 38% for Hillary. If you add Biden in, then the lead changes 41% to 32% with Biden picking up 16%.

It's getting closer in Iowa too:

n Iowa, Clinton's lead over Sanders has narrowed significantly. The former secretary of state now leads Sanders, 48 percent to 37 percent, down from a 29-point lead in an NBC News/Marist poll earlier this summer. (With Biden included as an option, Clinton earns 38 percent, compared to 27 percent for Sanders and 20 percent for the vice president.)

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/poll-sanders-maintains-his-lead-in-new-hampshire-213373#ixzz3l1qGsYx1

But Bernie isn't a serious candidate. Not at all.